Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
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Crown Green Handicap

Keith Bailey

Team: Pensby CDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

478

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

100

Matches Played

29

Wins

71

Losses

29%

Win Rate

6.3

Avg Win Margin

9.4

Avg Loss Margin

13-27

Home Record

16-44

Away Record

50%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
26 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/21/2026

Only 26 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Boosted by the Division 1 confidence floor rule.

Milestones

Career

Decade Player

10 seasons

Next goal: Veteran10/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 100 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

12 Jun10 Aug19 Jul2 Aug12 Aug4 Aug18 May21 Aug-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
31%
score-0.38→contribution-0.15
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
6.5
score-0.25→contribution-0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.1
score-0.01→contribution-0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
695
score-0.83→contribution-0.08
Weighted Score-0.350
Sample Size Confidence
50%(26/39 matches) · floored
Rating825 → shrunk 913→ adjusted 509
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)419
Recency Blend35% (26 recent matches)
Final Rating478
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

29W71L100 matches·29% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby B2016–2025League 346143230.4%
Pensby2021–2025League 2, League 334102429.4%
Pensby C2026League 32051525%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/21/2026Stephen CorriganH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2026Bob JenkinsA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2026Jeremy BradshawA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2026Gayle Formston-wrightA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/17/2026Pat McloughlinH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/10/2026Julie MccreadieA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
7/6/2026Bill AtkinsonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/3/2026Andy PritchardH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
6/19/2026Luke RoweA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2026Robert BibbyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2026Ray HartleyH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
6/5/2026Harry MillingtonA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
5/29/2026Stephen WheeldonA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
5/22/2026Hayley JonesH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
5/18/2026Kevin SmithH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
5/15/2026Kevin SmithA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
5/8/2026Eileen HumeA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
5/1/2026Paul McdonnellH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
4/24/2026Derek MacDonaldA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
4/20/2026Allan ClarkeH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
8/22/2025Sam WilliamsA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
8/15/2025Babs WoodwardA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
7/18/2025Luke RoweA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2024Andrew MeldrumA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2024Tom FrancomsH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
4/26/2024Steve PrestonA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
8/11/2023Tony ThelwellA3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 2
8/4/2023Rob OllerheadA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
7/31/2023vs Gladstone BH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
7/24/2023John KayllH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2023Joe BrettA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
6/23/2023vs Upton Victory Hall BH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
6/16/2023Ron AstleA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
6/12/2023vs Hoylake Central & Melrose BA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
6/9/2023Dave FinlayA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
6/2/2023John MountfordA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
5/26/2023Brian CowanA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2023Margie RatcliffA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
8/26/2022vs Albany BH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2022Graham RobinsonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2022Bill ClaytonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/25/2022Ken WinterH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2022Eddie ThomasA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2022Jim IvanoffH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2022Allan ClarkeA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2022Paul KyffinH21-2WIN+19LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2022Kevin TurnerH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
5/30/2022vs Albany BA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
5/23/2022Donald HillA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2022Mike PillingH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2022Steve PrestonA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2022Roy CookeA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2021vs PoultonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/30/2021Alan SuttonA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2021Phil WynneA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
7/9/2021Joan LawrenceA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
6/18/2021Tim WatkinsH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
6/11/2021Derek CarrollH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2021Ian HawesH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
8/30/2019Peter RattrayA0-21LOSS-21LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2019Ken AshleyA3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2019Keith GentleA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2019Gordon DitchfieldH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/26/2019John LeaityA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2019Jim IvanoffA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2019Richard NorburyH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2019Stephen PrestonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2019Kevin OwensA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2019Colin TurnerH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2019John GladwinA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2019Margaret ProwseH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2019Graham RobinsonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2019Lee AbbottA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/3/2019Craig EdwardsH1-21LOSS-20LeagueLeague 3
4/26/2019vs Port Sunlight Village & Works BA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2018Josephine CarrA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
8/10/2018Ritchie NorburyH3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 3
8/3/2018Chris WentworthH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2018Dave EdwardsA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
7/20/2018Dave EastA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/13/2018Aaron WilliamsH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/6/2018Peter RattrayH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2018Kevin OwensA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
6/1/2018Brenda BoultonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/4/2018Bill ClaytonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
8/18/2017Lorna FosterA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2017Ray PriceA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
7/7/2017Dereck SnedkerA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2017Cathy DohertyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2017Margaret LewisA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/26/2017Robbie RossH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2017Joan GoudieA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2016Peter McgheeA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2016Nigel LoweA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2016Eric PercivalA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2016Chris WentworthH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2016Abaigael KearneyA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
5/27/2016Dave FinlayH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2016Mark MasonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
4/29/2016Paul BentleyA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl4 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundKeith BennettPoulton17-21LOSSLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary Round* Dave McdermottTixall20-21LOSSWON
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundChris BlackburnBromborough Pool21-5WINWON
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundGeorge RobertsNew Brighton Quarry Vikings D18-21LOSSWON
Cartwright Cup2 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTony LakeBromborough Recs7-21LOSSLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundWalk OverGreat Meols21-0WINLOST
Graham White Cup2 games · 1W
20162 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundPhil WynneHoylake Central B21-20WINLOST
Round of 32 RoundJohn RogersTixall B0-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

10losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

10

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 100% win rate— steady
LLLLLLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Luke Rowe0220%6/19/2026
Kevin Smith11250%5/18/2026
Allan Clarke0220%4/20/2026
Steve Preston202100%4/26/2024
Dave Finlay202100%6/9/2023
Albany B0220%8/26/2022
Graham Robinson0220%8/12/2022
Bill Clayton0220%8/5/2022
Jim Ivanoff11250%7/15/2022
Peter Rattray0220%8/30/2019
Biggest Win
Paul Kyffin (+19)6/24/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Peter Rattray (-21)8/30/2019
Best Season
201931% · 16 matches
Worst Season
20238% · 12 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
34% → 24%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
71489 known · 11 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-0100% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
25-6229% win rate

By Division

League 328-61 (31%)
League 21-10 (9%)
League 29.1%
1W·10L·11 played
League 331.5%
28W·61L·89 played

Debut

Apr 29, 2016

Latest

Aug 21, 2026

Seasons Active

10 (10.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

10.0 (100 total)

Seasons

2016201720182019202120222023202420252026